European Wind Energy Market – Enter the
Offshore Era
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Renewables are not uncommon in
Europe. In fact, most renewable technology development was initiated in
Europe. This is primarily attributed to Europe proactively managing the
energy crisis and environmental concerns. Several laws have been enacted
with mandatory targets and generous subsidies that have fuelled the growth
of renewables in Europe. Wind energy is no exception to this; Europe is
considered to be a veteran in the global wind energy market. Activity in the
wind energy market originated in Europe, long before other parts of the
world were seriously working on implementing it.
Chart 1.1 shows the wind energy
market development in
global
regions.
In 2000, Europe accounted for 12.9 GW of installed capacity, whereas North
America had only 2.6 GW and Asia Pacific a mere 1.7 GW. However, the
regional difference in installed capacity has narrowed down considerably,
and Europe’s share, though high in terms of cumulative capacity, is
relatively small in incremental capacity additions. Europe’s share in global
installations has been dropping since 2005 as other regions pick up pace and
grow at a faster rate.
Chart 1.2 depicts the share of
European installations in
wind
energy.
Changing Dynamics
While other regions are warming up to onshore wind and its prospects, it is
considered a near-mature market in Europe. This is due to the availability
of land, feasible locations and the higher capacity factor of offshore wind.
Offshore wind has a capacity factor which is significantly higher than that
of onshore wind. Onshore wind had an average capacity factor of 24.3 percent
in 2009, whereas offshore wind had a capacity factor of more than 40.0
percent. Since 2007, Europe has heavily concentrated in increasing offshore
projects. Advancements in deep water turbine technology have further
increased the appeal of offshore wind to several investors. The large
coastline and regulatory environment have supported the growth of offshore
wind. However, as projects go deeper into the water, the need for government
support increases, due to cost constraints and cabling difficulties.
Chart 1.3 presents the growth in offshore
installations from 2000
to 2009
in the European wind energy market.
In addition to regulatory support, Europe also has the most economical
offshore wind cost, which has drawn the attention of several investors.
Chart 1.4 presents the cost comparison
of wind energy across
several regions.
Geographical Dominance in Offshore Wind
The United Kingdom is currently the largest producer of offshore wind energy
globally. It is bestowed with the best wind resources in all of Europe.
Although onshore wind overshadows offshore wind (~600 MW) currently, the
recent spurt in growth has been attributed to offshore projects. General
Electric and Siemens have contributed to the recent spurt in offshore
projects by announcing investments to the extent of €500 million in Europe,
particularly the UK. Vestas, a dominant player in onshore wind, is planning
to re-enter the UK market. However, the rigorous consenting process and the
reduction in consents have significantly hampered growth of onshore and
offshore wind.
Germany claims to have an offshore potential of 10,000 MW by 2020. Their
first offshore wind energy park went online in August 2009 and is expected
to power 50,000 homes. With onshore sites diminishing, offshore is the most
promising option to develop wind energy. Though historically, there have
been some efforts in investing in and developing the huge offshore
potential, it is now considered one of the most promising among renewables.
Dong Energy has recently bid for a 400 MW offshore wind energy farm in
Denmark with a massive investment of $1.8 billion. Several other offshore
projects have been commissioned that are expected to further raise the
average capacity factor in Denmark.
Conclusion
Siemens controls 70.0 percent of the offshore wind turbine market. Although
new companies have entered the offshore wind turbine market, Siemens has a
sizeable order backlog and has cemented its position. They are in an
advantageous position to exploit the $3.9 billion offshore wind turbine
market in 2010.
Europe’s onshore potential, though plenty, has been more or less sidelined
due to the enormous opportunities present in offshore wind. Most of the
investments are to be channelled towards offshore wind development and
turbine manufacturers.
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